Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.173294 0.200906 0.231505 0.267931 0.310127 0.357485 0.414696
2025-07-06 0.128952 0.165541 0.210366 0.269349 0.344988 0.438842 0.564337
2025-07-13 0.109777 0.151196 0.205576 0.282260 0.387769 0.528103 0.729436
2025-07-20 0.095696 0.139583 0.200549 0.291519 0.424088 0.610713 0.894336
2025-07-27 0.085035 0.130344 0.196440 0.300013 0.458661 0.693267 1.068098
2025-08-03 0.075201 0.120496 0.189517 0.302517 0.483491 0.763162 1.230466
2025-08-10 0.065923 0.109984 0.179847 0.298885 0.497438 0.816853 1.372856
2025-08-17 0.057097 0.098878 0.167603 0.289105 0.499527 0.850849 1.485990
2025-08-24 0.052657 0.094440 0.165579 0.295786 0.529392 0.933291 1.689974
2025-08-31 0.047939 0.088858 0.160821 0.296908 0.549321 1.000331 1.874135
2025-09-07 0.044293 0.084705 0.157998 0.300961 0.574635 1.079151 2.088320
2025-09-14 0.039768 0.078341 0.150370 0.295064 0.580485 1.122507 2.240101
2025-09-21 0.036128 0.073316 0.144816 0.292747 0.593458 1.181761 2.432268
2025-09-28 0.033348 0.069663 0.141506 0.294486 0.614723 1.259697 2.672058
2025-10-05 0.032158 0.069086 0.144181 0.308607 0.662718 1.396260 3.049520
2025-10-12 0.030658 0.067663 0.144938 0.318735 0.703409 1.522142 3.419368
2025-10-19 0.029203 0.066151 0.145312 0.328027 0.743277 1.650549 3.810198
2025-10-26 0.027328 0.063479 0.142871 0.330766 0.768837 1.750497 4.148700
2025-11-02 0.025119 0.059783 0.137750 0.326792 0.778562 1.816000 4.414972
2025-11-09 0.022658 0.055207 0.130129 0.316094 0.771262 1.841565 4.588936
2025-11-16 0.021641 0.053962 0.130073 0.323402 0.807875 1.974003 5.040077
2025-11-23 0.020320 0.051819 0.127649 0.324630 0.829673 2.073190 5.419888
2025-11-30 0.019298 0.050301 0.126568 0.329064 0.859981 2.196491 5.876410